I-Mysteel Macro Maviki onke: I-State Administration igcizelele isidingo sokwehliswa kwentengo ukuze kusize amabhizinisi ukubhekana nokukhuphuka kwamanani ezinto zokusetshenziswa.

Ibuyekezwa njalo ngeSonto ngaphambi kuka-8:00 ekuseni ukuze uthole isithombe esigcwele se-macro dynamics yesonto.

Isifinyezo sesonto: I-Macro News: U-Li Keqiang emhlanganweni wesigungu soMkhandlu Wesifunda sase-China wagcizelela isidingo sokuqinisa umthethonqubo we-cross-cyclical;U-Li Keqiang evakashele e-Shanghai ugcizelele isidingo sokuqalisa inqubomgomo yezwe enhle kumabhizinisi amalahle namandla, njengokuhlehliswa kwentela;IHhovisi Jikelele loMkhandlu Wombuso likhiphe isaziso sokuqhubeka nokuqinisa usizo kumabhizinisi amancane naphakathi nendawo;esikhathini sikaJanuwari-Okthoba, isamba senzuzo yamabhizinisi ezimboni ngaphezu kobukhulu bezwe sikhuphuke ngo-42.2% unyaka nonyaka;Izimangalo zokuqala zemihlomulo yokungasebenzi zehle zaya eminyakeni engama-52 kuleli sonto.Ukulandelela idatha: Ngokwezimali, ibhange elikhulu lifake ama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-190 ngesonto;izinga lokusebenza kwe-247 blast furnaces ehlolwe yi-Mysteel yehla ngaphansi kwe-70%;izinga lokusebenza kwezindawo zokuwasha amalahle eziyi-110 ezweni lonke lahlala lizinzile;futhi intengo yamalahle yahlala izinzile ngenkathi insimbi, i-rebar nensimbi ikhuphuka kakhulu phakathi nesonto, amanani ethusi ehla, amanani kasimende ehla, amanani kakhonkolo ehla, ngesonto isilinganiso sansuku zonke sokuthengiswa kwezimoto zabagibeli ezingu-49,000, sehle ngo-12% , BDI ikhuphuke ngo-9%.Izimakethe Zezezimali: Wonke amakusasa ezimpahla ezinkulu awe kuleli sonto ngaphandle kokuhola kwe-LME;amasheya omhlaba wonke akhuphuka e-China kuphela, futhi zombili izimakethe zase-US ne-Europe ziwa;futhi inkomba yedola yehle ngo-0.07% yaya ku-96.

1. Izindaba Ezibalulekile Ezibalulekile

UMongameli uXi Jinping wengamele umhlangano wamashumi amabili nambili weKhomishana Enkulu wezinguquko ezijulile, egcizelela isidingo sokwenza ngcono ukuklanywa kwemakethe kagesi, izinsiza zikagesi ezweni ukuze kuzuzwe ukwabiwa okubanzi kanye nokwabiwa ngokufanele. ngabanye.Umhlangano wabonisa ukuthi kuyadingeka ukuqhubekisela phambili ukwakhiwa kwendlela yemakethe yamandla ukuze ivumelane nokuguqulwa kwesakhiwo samandla, kanye nokukhuthaza ukubamba iqhaza kwamandla amasha ekuhwebeni kwezimakethe ngendlela ehlelekile.Umhlangano ubuye wagcizelela isidingo sokugqugquzela ukwakhiwa kombuthano omuhle wesayensi nobuchwepheshe, izimboni kanye nezezimali, futhi kusheshiswe uguquko nokusebenzisa impumelelo yesayensi nezobuchwepheshe.Ekuseni ngoNovemba 22, uMongameli waseShayina u-Xi Jinping uhambele futhi wengamela ingqungquthela emcimbini wokugubha iminyaka engama-30 kwasungulwa ubudlelwano bezingxoxo phakathi kweChina ne-ASEAN ngesixhumanisi sevidiyo eBeijing.U-Xi umemezele ngokusemthethweni ukusungulwa kwe-China ASEAN Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, futhi waveza ukuthi i-China izodlala ngokugcwele indima yesivumelwano sobambiswano olunzulu lwezomnotho lwesifunda, yethula ukwakhiwa kwe-ASEAN-China Free Trade Area 3.0, i-china izolwela ukungenisa ama-US $150. izigidigidi zemikhiqizo yezolimo evela e-ASEAN eminyakeni emihlanu ezayo.Lapho kubhekene nengcindezi entsha yokwehla kwezomnotho, umhlangano wesigungu esiphezulu soMkhandlu Wombuso waseChina, oholwa nguNdunankulu uLi Keqiang woMkhandlu Kazwelonke, unxuse ukuthi kuqiniswe ukulungiswa okuhambisana nomjikelezo, ngenkathi kuqhubeka umsebenzi omuhle ekulawuleni izikweletu zohulumeni wasekhaya kanye nokuvimbela. kanye nokuxazulula izingozi, ukunikeza ukudlala okuphelele endimeni yezimali zezikweletu ezikhethekile ekuthuthukiseni izikhwama zomphakathi.Sizosheshisa ukukhishwa kwenani elisele lamabhondi akhethekile kulo nyaka futhi silwele ukudala eminye imithwalo yemisebenzi ewusizo ekuqaleni konyaka ozayo.

Kusukela ngomhla ka-Nov. 22 kuya ku-23, uNdunankulu uLi Keqiang, oyilungu lePolitburo yeQembu LamaKhomanisi laseShayina, wavakashela e-Shanghai.U-Li Keqiang uthe ohulumeni kuwo wonke amazinga kufanele baqhubeke nokuqinisa ukwesekwa kwabo, okuhlanganisa ukusebenzisa izinqubomgomo zoMbuso mayelana nokukhululwa kwentela ezinkampanini zamalahle namandla, ukwenza umsebenzi omuhle wokudidiyela nokuthumela, nokuqinisekisa ukutholakala kwamalahle okuzinzile ukuze kuphehlwe ugesi, kanye nokuxazulula izinkinga. inkinga yokushoda kwamandla kwezinye izindawo, ukuvimbela ukuvela kwento entsha “Yokunqanyulwa kukagesi”.

IHhovisi Jikelele loMkhandlu Kazwelonke likhiphe isaziso ngokuqhubeka nokuqinisa ukusekelwa kwama-smes, esasithi: (1) ukunciphisa ingcindezi ekukhuphukeni kwezindleko.Sizoqinisa ukuqapha kwempahla kanye nokuxwayisa kusenesikhathi, siqinise ukulawulwa kwezimakethe zokuhlinzekwa kwempahla kanye nesidingo, futhi sinqande imisebenzi engekho emthethweni njengokuqoqwa kwempahla nokwenza inzuzo, kanye nokunyusa amanani.Sizosekela izinhlangano zezimboni kanye namabhizinisi amakhulu ekwakheni izinkundla zokudokha ezidinga ukuhlinzekwa kwezidingo zezimboni ezibalulekile, futhi siqinise isiqinisekiso nezinsizakalo zokumaketha zezinto ezingavuthiwe nezicutshunguliwe.(2) ukukhuthaza izinkampani zesikhathi esizayo ukuthi zinikeze izinsizakalo zokulawula ubungozi kuma-smes, ukuze zizisize ekusebenziseni amathuluzi okuvikela esikhathi esizayo ukuze zibhekane nengozi yokuguquguquka okukhulu kwamanani entengo yempahla.(3) ukwenyusa ukusekelwa kwezimali zokuhlenga ukusiza amabhizinisi ukubhekana nengcindezi yokukhuphuka kwamanani ezinto ezingavuthiwe, izindleko zempahla kanye nezindleko zabasebenzi.(4) ukukhuthaza izindawo lapho izimo zivuma khona ukusebenzisa impatho ekhethekile ngezikhathi ezithile ukuze kusetshenziswe ugesi ngamabhizinisi amancane namancane.Umnyango Wezohwebo ukhiphe uhlelo lokuthuthukiswa kwekhwalithi ephezulu yohwebo lwangaphandle lohlelo lweminyaka emihlanu lwe-14.Phakathi nesikhathi sohlelo lweminyaka emihlanu lwe-14, uhlelo lokuphepha kwezohwebo luzothuthukiswa nakakhulu.Imithombo yokungenisa ukudla, izinsiza zamandla, ubuchwepheshe obubalulekile kanye nezingxenye eziyisipele kuhlukahluka kakhulu, futhi izinhlelo zokuvimbela ubungozi kanye nokulawula ukungqubuzana kwezohwebo, ukulawulwa kokuthekelisa kanye nokukhulula ezohwebo zizwakala kahle kakhulu.Ezinyangeni eziyishumi zokuqala zika-2019, isamba senzuzo yamabhizinisi ezimboni ngaphezu kwesilinganiso sikazwelonke ifinyelele kuma-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-7,164.99, ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angama-42.2 unyaka nonyaka, yakhuphuka ngamaphesenti angama-43.2 kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-Okthoba 2019, kanye nokukhula okujwayelekile ngamaphesenti ayi-19.7 kokubili. iminyaka.Kuleli ngqikithi, inzuzo yezimboni ze-petroleum, amalahle nezinye izimboni zokucubungula uphethiloli yanda izikhathi ezingu-5.76, imboni yokukhipha uwoyela negesi yanda izikhathi ezingu-2.63, imboni yezimayini zamalahle neyokugeza amalahle yanda izikhathi ezingu-2.10, kanti i-non-ferrous metal. futhi imboni ye-calendering ikhuphuke izikhathi ezingu-1.63, izimboni ze-Ferrous kanye ne-calendering zanda izikhathi ezingu-1.32.

 Ukuphatha-1

Izimangalo zokuqala ezilungiswe ngezikhathi ezithile zezinzuzo zokungasebenzi beziyi-199,000 ngeviki eliphele ngoNov. 20, izinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngo-1969 kanye nezingu-260,000 ezilinganiselwa ku-268,000, ngokusho koMnyango Wezabasebenzi wase-United States.Isibalo sabantu baseMelika abaqhubeka nokufuna imihlomulo yokungasebenzi kuleli sonto eliphele ngoNov. 13 besiyizigidi ezingu-2.049, noma izigidi ezingu-2.033, sisuka ezigidini ezingu-2.08.Ukwehla okukhulu kunobekulindelwe kungachazwa ngokuthi uhulumeni uyilungise kanjani idatha eluhlaza yokuguquguquka kwesizini.Ukulungiswa kwesizini kulandela ukwanda okungaba ngu-18,000 ezicelweni zokuqala zokungasebenzi ngesonto eledlule.

 Ukuphatha-2

(2) Izindaba Flash

Ukuze kusetshenziswe imibono yeKomiti Elikhulu LeQembu LamaKhomanisi laseChina (CPC) kanye noMkhandlu Wombuso mayelana nokujulisa impi yokunqanda nokulawula ukungcoliswa kwemvelo, uMnyango Wezemvelo Wenze amalungiselelo amasha, wengeza imisebenzi emibili ebalulekile futhi wathumela eziyisishiyagalombili. imikhankaso eyingqophamlando.Umsebenzi wokuqala omusha nobalulekile ukuqinisa ukulawulwa okudidiyelwe kwe-PM2.5 ne-ozone, nokutshala nokusebenzisa impi yokuqeda ukungcoliswa kwesimo sezulu esinzima kanye nempi yokuvimbela nokulawula ukungcoliswa kwe-ozone.Umsebenzi wesibili ukusebenzisa isu elikhulu likazwelonke, iMpi entsha yokuvikela imvelo kanye nokulawulwa koMfula Ophuzi.Ngokusho koMnyango Wezohwebo, isivumelwano sokuhweba samahhala sase-china-cambodia sizoqala ukusebenza ngoJanuwari 1,2022.Ngaphansi kwesivumelwano, ingxenye yezinto ezingakhokhiswa intela ezimpahleni ezihwebelana ngazo zombili izinhlangothi isifinyelele ngaphezu kwamaphesenti angama-90, futhi ukuzibophezela ekuvuleni izimakethe zokuhwebelana ngezinsizakalo kukhombisa izinga eliphezulu kakhulu lozakwethu abangakhokhi intela elinikezwa uhlangothi ngalunye.NgokoMnyango Wezezimali, ama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-6,491.6 wamabhondi kahulumeni wasekhaya akhishwe ezweni lonke kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-Okthoba.Kuleli ngqikithi, ama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2,470.5 kumabhondi ajwayelekile kanye nama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-4,021.1 kumabhondi akhethekile akhishiwe, kuyilapho ama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-3,662.5 kumabhondi amasha kanye nama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-2,829.1 kumabhondi okubuyisela imali akhishiwe, ahlukaniswa ngenhloso.

Ngokusho koMnyango wezeziMali, inzuzo yezinkampani zikahulumeni kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya ku-Okthoba ifinyelele kuma-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-3,825.04, ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-47.6 unyaka nonyaka kanye nesilinganiso sokukhula kweminyaka emibili ngamaphesenti angu-14.1.Amabhizinisi amaphakathi abalwe ngama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-2,532.65, okuwukunyuka ngamaphesenti angama-44.0 unyaka nonyaka kanye nokukhula ngokwesilinganiso ngamaphesenti ayi-14.2 eminyakeni emibili: amabhizinisi kahulumeni wendawo abalwe ngama-yuan ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1,292.40, okunyuke ngamaphesenti angama-55.3 unyaka nonyaka kanye nesilinganiso sokwanda ngamaphesenti angu-13,8 eminyakeni emibili.Umkhulumeli we-China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) uthe isidingo semalimboleko efanelekile yezindawo ezithengiswayo sihlangatshezwe.Ekupheleni kuka-Okthoba, imali ebolekiwe yezindlu ezithengiswayo yizikhungo zezezimali zamabhange ikhule ngamaphesenti angama-8.2 ukusuka ngonyaka owedlule futhi yahlala izinzile.Kuyagcizelelwa ukuthi ukuncishiswa kwekhabhoni akumele kube “ubukhulu obufanayo” noma “isitayela semidlalo”, nokuthi ukwesekwa kwekhredithi okuphusile kufanele kunikezwe amabhizinisi namaphrojekthi wamalahle afanelekayo, nokuthi imali mboleko akumele yenziwe ngobumpumputhe. ikhishwe noma inqunywe.IForamu Yezomnotho Omkhulu Yase-China (i-CMF) ikhiphe umbiko owabikezela ukukhula kwangempela kwe-GDP ngo-3.9% kwikota yesine kanye nokukhula komnotho kwaminyaka yonke ngama-8.1% ukuze kuzuzwe umgomo wonyaka wokukhula ongaphezu kuka-6%.I-GDP yase-US engxenyeni yesithathu yabuyekezwa ngenani laminyaka yonke lamaphesenti angu-2.1, amaphesenti angu-2.2 kanye nezinga lokuqala elingamaphesenti amabili.I-PMI yokuqala yokukhiqiza i-Markit yase-United States ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-59.1 ngoNovemba, nenkomba encane yokufaka intengo isezingeni eliphezulu kusukela amarekhodi aqala ngo-2007.

E-United States, inkomba yentengo ye-PCE eyinhloko ikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-4.1 ngo-Okthoba kusukela ngonyaka odlule, izinga eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ku-1991, futhi kulindeleke ukuthi likhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-4.1, kusukela kumaphesenti angu-3.6 ngenyanga edlule.Endaweni ye-euro, i-PMI yokuqala yomkhakha wokukhiqiza yayingu-58.6, ngesibikezelo se-57.3, uma kuqhathaniswa ne-58.3;i-PMI yokuqala yomkhakha wezinsizakalo yayingu-56.6, nesibikezelo sama-53.5, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-54.6;kanti i-Composite Pmi yayingu-55.8, nesibikezelo esingu-53.2, uma kuqhathaniswa no-54.2.UMongameli Biden uqokela uPowell elinye ihlandla bese kuthi uBrenard aqokwe njengephini likasihlalo weFederal Reserve.Ngomhla zingama-26 kuNovemba, i-World Health Organization yahlela umhlangano ophuthumayo ukuze kuxoxwe ngo-B. 1.1.529, uhlobo olusha lokuhlukahluka komqhele.I-WHO ikhiphe isitatimende ngemuva komhlangano, ibala lolu hlobo njengokwehlukile “Okukhathazayo” futhi yaluqamba ngokuthi i-Omicron.I-World Health Organisation ithi ingathathelana kakhulu, noma yandise ubungozi bokugula okungathi sína, noma yehlise ukusebenza kahle kokuxilongwa kwamanje, imigomo kanye nokwelashwa.Izimakethe zamasheya ezihamba phambili, isivuno sebhondi kahulumeni kanye nempahla yehle kakhulu, amanani kawoyela ehle cishe ngo-$10 umphongolo.Amasheya aseMelika avale amaphesenti angama-2.5 aphansi, ukusebenza kwawo okubi kakhulu kosuku olulodwa kusukela ngasekupheleni kuka-Okthoba 2020, amasheya aseYurophu athumele ukwehla kwawo okukhulu kosuku olulodwa ezinyangeni eziyi-17, kwathi amasheya ase-Asia Pacific awela ebhodini, ngokusho kweDow Jones Industrial Average.Ukuze kugwenywe amabhamuza ezimpahla futhi kuvinjwe ukukhuphuka kwamandla emali okwengeziwe, iBhange LaseKorea linyuse izilinganiso zenzalo ngamaphoyinti angu-25 ukuya kumaphesenti angu-1.Ibhange elimaphakathi laseHungary liphinde lenyusa izinga lediphozithi yesonto elilodwa ngamaphuzu angama-40 laya kumaphesenti angama-2.9.Ibhange eliphakathi lase-Sweden lishiye izinga layo lenzalo elingashintshiwe ku-0%.

2. Ukulandelela idatha

(1) izinsiza zezimali

Ukuphatha-3 Ukuphatha-4

(2) idatha yemboni

Ukuphatha-5 Ukuphatha-6 Ukuphatha-7 Ukuphatha-8 Ukuphatha-9 Ukuphatha-10 Ukuphatha-11 Ukuphatha-12 Ukuphatha-13 Ukuphatha-14

Uhlolojikelele lwezimakethe zezimali

Ku-Commodity Futures, wonke amakusasa ezimpahla ezinkulu ehlile ngaphandle kokuhola kwe-LME, okukhuphuke ngamaphesenti angama-2.59 phakathi nesonto.Uwoyela ongahluziwe we-WTI wehle kakhulu, ngamaphesenti angu-9.52.Emakethe yamasheya yomhlaba wonke, amasheya aseShayina akhuphuka kancane, kuyilapho amasheya aseYurophu nase-US ehla kakhulu.Emakethe yokuhwebelana kwamanye amazwe, inkomba yedola ivale ngamaphesenti angama-0.07 ku-96.

Ukuphatha-15Izibalo ezibalulekile zeviki elizayo

1. I-China izoshicilela i-PMI yayo yokukhiqiza ngoNovemba

Isikhathi: NgoLwesibili (1130) ukuphawula: Ngo-Okthoba, i-PMI yokukhiqiza yehle yafika ku-49.2%, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.4 kusukela enyangeni edlule, ngenxa yezinkinga eziqhubekayo zokuhlinzekwa kwamandla kanye namanani aphezulu kwezinye izinto zokusetshenziswa, ngokusho kweNational Bureau of Statistics of e-People's Republic of China, intuthuko yokukhiqiza ibuthakathaka njengoba isalokhu ingaphansi kwephuzu elibalulekile.Inkomba ye-PMI ehlanganisiwe yayingamaphesenti angu-50.8, yehle ngamaphesenti angu-0.9 kusukela enyangeni edlule, okubonisa ukwehla ekwandiseni konke komsebenzi webhizinisi e-China.I-PMI esemthethweni yokukhiqiza yaseChina kulindeleke ukuthi ikhule kancane ngoNovemba.

(2) isifinyezo sezibalo ezibalulekile zesonto elizayo

Ukuphatha-16


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Nov-30-2021