Kafushane: Uma sibheka emuva emakethe yensimbi ngesonto eledlule, intengo yensimbi ibonise inkambiso yokusebenza okuguquguqukayo.Imikhiqizo eminingi yensimbi ivuke kuqala yase yehla ebangeni lamaphuzu angama-30.Ngokuqondene nezinto zokusetshenziswa, inkomba ye-iron ore dollar ikhuphuke ngamaphuzu angama-4, Inkomba Yentengo Yensimbi yaphakama ngamaphuzu angama-64, inkomba yentengo ye-coke yehla ngamaphuzu angama-94.Uma sibheka phambili emakethe yensimbi kuleli sonto, kulindeleke ukuthi lesi simo siqhubeke sikhombise ukusebenza kanzima.Izizathu ezinkulu yilezi: Okokuqala, ingqungquthela yezomnotho emaphakathi inqume ukubeka unyaka wezi-2022 njengonyaka ozinzile;ngakolunye uhlangothi, igqamise ingcindezi enkulu yokwehla kwezomnotho njengamanje ngisho nasenkathini ezayo, ngakolunye uhlangothi, iphinde ikhombise ukuthi isimo somnotho sisonke ngowezi-2022 noma inqubekelaphambili ezinzile;okwesibili, ukukhuphuka okuncane kokukhiqizwa kwensimbi inyanga nenyanga, ukwehla kwempahla kuyancipha, amandla okusekela amanani ensimbi aba buthaka;Okwesithathu, kuleli sonto i-Federal Reserve kanye newindi lesikhathi somhlangano we-European Central Bank, liphinde libe yizinkontileka ze-2201 enyangeni yokulethwa ngaphambi kwesiteji segeyimu, eside futhi esingenalutho.
1. Imakhro
Umsebenzi wezomnotho ka-2022 udinga ukuthi siqhubekele phambili kancane kancane futhi senze inqubekelaphambili eqhubekayo, siqhubeke nokusebenzisa inqubomgomo yezimali esebenzayo kanye nenqubomgomo yezimali ehlakaniphile, senze utshalomali lwengqalasizinda ethuthukisiwe ngokufanele, futhi sikhuthaze umjikelezo ozwakalayo nokuthuthukiswa okunempilo kwemboni yezindlu nezindlu ngokusebenzisa idolobha. izinqubomgomo, ungazibandakanyi kwezemidlalo "Ukunciphisa Ikhabhoni".Njengamanje, isidingo sezimali somnotho wangempela waseShayina sibuthakathaka, ukusetshenziswa kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali akwanele, uhwebo lwangaphandle lugcina ukukhula okusheshayo, futhi izinqubomgomo ezinkulu zifudumele.
Isimo sohlobo ngalunye lwezinto zokusetshenziswa
1. Insimbi Yensimbi
Kusukela kuleli sonto, ukuthunyelwa kwensimbi yensimbi kanye nokufika e-Hong Kong kokubili kwehlile ngokohlelo lokuthumela kanye nesigqi sokuthutha.Kodwa-ke, ngokususwa kwemikhawulo yokukhiqiza eTangshan futhi kuhlela ukuqalisa kabusha ukukhiqizwa kwezithando zomlilo kwezinye izifunda, ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi eshisayo kuzokhuphuka ngezinga elithile, nokho, ukwanda kokuphuma kwensimbi eshisayo kunqunyelwe ngaphansi kokuvikelwa kwemvelo, isitokwe sechweba. ayiguquli inkambiso yokuqongelela, igebe lesidingo sokuhlinzeka lisaxega, futhi intengo ihlala ibuthakathaka.
(2) Ikhola Lamalahle
(3) izicucu
Imakethe yemikhiqizo eqediwe ekukhuleni okuqhubekayo ngemva kokuba isimo somqondo sivame ukuqapha, okuhambisana nokufika okulandelayo kwesizini engasebenzi, ukugcinwa kwasebusika kuletha ingcindezi enkulu, ukubuyela emuva kwesikhathi esifushane noma ukushaqeka.Ngokombono womehluko we-screw waste kanye nomehluko we-plate waste, umshini wokugaya insimbi wamanje usenayo inzuzo ethile, kodwa uma kucatshangelwa izici ezinjengokunciphisa ukukhiqizwa ebusika enyakatho yeChina kanye nokulawulwa kabili kokusetshenziswa kwamandla, isidingo sensimbi esilahliwe asikakathuthuki ngokusobala. ;ngokombono womehluko we-scrap iron, intengo yamanje yensimbi yensimbi isivele iphakeme kunezindleko zensimbi encibilikisiwe, inzuzo yezomnotho ye-scrap iyancipha, futhi ukuzimisela ukuthenga izinsalela kubuthakathaka ngenxa yenqubo ende.Ngaphezu kwalokho, uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izimpahla unyaka nonyaka, amanani entengo ye-scrap abe sezingeni eliphezulu, kunengozi yokwehla.Ukwahlulela okuphelele, amanani entengo kulindeleke ukuthi ehle kancane kuleli sonto.
(4) ibhilidi
Izinzuzo ze-billet zehlisa ijubane, kuqhuba izici ukusuka ekwehlweni kwezindleko kuya ekubuyeni kwentengo.Indawo yaseTangshan umkhawulo wokuvikelwa kwemvelo ukukhiqizwa njalo, ukunikezwa kanye nesidingo esiphindwe kabili isimo esibuthakathaka, ukuphindaphinda kwentengo kuholwa yimakethe yekusasa.Ngokombono wamanje wemakethe, ngokusekelwe ekukhishweni okuqhubekayo futhi okunzima kokunikezwa kwe-billet, ngaphansi kwendawo yokusebenza yezitshalo eziginqikayo zensimbi ezansi nomfula, isitokwe semikhiqizo eqediwe embonini siyaqhubeka nokwehla, kanye nesimo esiphansi sesitoko samafekthri amaningi anqanyuliwe. sekuvele kubangele ukwenzeka kokuntuleka kwezinhlobonhlobo kanye nokucaciswa, umuzwa wokuqalisa kabusha ukukhiqiza kanye nokugcinwa kabusha kuzoba obala, futhi ukuncishiswa kwezindleko zokugoqa insimbi kuzoholela ekwenyukeni okubonakalayo kwenzuzo yokukhiqiza nokuthengisa.Ukwengeza, umkhuba wokunciphisa inani lamabhilidi ensimbi angenisiwe afika echwebeni uyabonakala, noma isimo sokudonsa amachweba sizogcinwa ngokuqhubekayo, lokhu kuletha izintengo ze-billet esigabeni esiphansi sokuqalisa kabusha kwamandla okushayela intengo.Kodwa-ke, kusukela ekusebenzeni kwemakethe kwamanje, ukuvelela okuhlobene kokungabi nathemba, ngokwezinga elithile, umthelela wezintengo ze-billet uqhubeke ukhuphuka.Izintengo eziphelele ezilindelekile ze-billet zesikhathi esifushane zizobonisa isimo "sokusekela Okuphansi, ukukhuphuka okulinganiselwe".
Isimo semikhiqizo yensimbi ehlukahlukene
(1) insimbi yokwakha
Kuleli sonto, uhlangothi lokuhlinzeka lungase lube nzima ukushintsha kakhulu, nakuba inzuzo yokugaya insimbi isilungisiwe, ukuqaliswa kabusha kwamandla kwanda, kodwa nge-Winter Olympics kanye nemikhawulo yokukhiqiza yasekwindla nobusika, indawo elinganiselwe yokubuyisela okukhiphayo.Ngokuphathelene nomjikelezo wesikhathi, umkhuba wokuncipha kwesidingo kuzoba nzima ukuwushintsha njengoba isimo sezulu sibanda futhi kusondela uMkhosi Wasentwasahlobo.Kodwa-ke, kusukela ngoNovemba kuze kube manje isimo sokuthenga ezweni lonke, ukusebenza okuphelele kwethoni yesidingo kusekuholeni ngokuqinile.Nakuba isifunda esisenyakatho sisanda kuhlushwa umthelela wokupholisa, kodwa njengesidingo esiyinhloko kulesi sigaba sesifunda esiseningizimu, isimo sezulu sesikhathi esifushane asisithinti indawo yokwakha, isidingo esiphelele ngesonto elizayo noma sizogcinwa.Njengamanje isingenile esigabeni sokugcina ubusika, impumalanga naseningizimu yeChina ifuna izindawo eziyinhloko kancane kancane yandisa ingxenye yokuqedwa kwesiza, ukuphela kwangempela kudinga nje ukuthuthukiswa.Ngakho-ke, amanani entengo ye-rebar anokumelana, ngaphansi kwezinga elithile lokusekelwa, kuhlanganiswe nezintengo zensimbi yokwakha yasekhaya kuleli sonto noma kuzoba ngokuyinhloko ukushaqeka okubuthakathaka.
(2) amapuleti aphakathi nendawo nasindayo
Ngasohlangothini lokuhlinzeka, iNorth Steel Mills isiphinde yaqala kabusha ukukhiqiza ngokulandelana esikhathini esizayo esiseduze.Empumalanga yeShayina, ukwanda kokukhiqiza kuyisici esiyinhloko, futhi ukukhishwa kwepuleti eliphakathi ezweni lonke kubonise umkhuba wezinga eliphansi lokuphindaphinda.Kulindeleke ukuthi okukhiphayo kwesikhathi esifushane kusenendawo encane yokukhuphuka.Ekusakazweni, ukuncintisana kwama-oda amapuleti ajwayelekile kushubile, isidingo sokuqagela emakethe sibi, isimo sezigayo zensimbi ezivumela amanani ukuthi athathe ama-oda kusobala, umfutho ophansi we-alloy mncane, njengamanje ugcina umehluko omkhulu wamanani neGeneral. Ibhodi;ohlangothini lwesidingo, isidingo sisonke sidangele, senezela umthelela wemicimbi ethile yezempilo yomphakathi yesifunda, indawo engezansi, indawo yokugcina impahla ivaliwe, akukho ngcono okuphawulekayo okulindelekile esikhathini esifushane.I-Integrated Forecast, izintengo zepuleti zaleli sonto ukusebenza okubuthakathaka.
(3) Ukuginqika okubandayo nokushisayo
Ngokombono wokunikezwa, umphumela wesikhathi esifushane wokuginqika okushisayo nokubanda uphansi, ikakhulukazi ukukhishwa kokuginqika okushisayo nokubandayo kulindeleke ukuthi kubuyele ezingeni elingamathani ayizigidi ezi-2.9/ngesonto ngo-December ukuqedwa kokulungisa kabusha, ngenxa yenzuzo yamanje yomshini wokugaya oshisayo, imakethe iyonke inokuqalisa kabusha okuqinile kokulindelwe kokukhiqiza, kodwa futhi nokuqinisekisa isisekelo sokukhiqiza sonyaka ozayo.Kusukela ekubukeni kokufunwa, ukusetshenziswa kwesikhathi esifushane kudinga nje ukulondoloza, kodwa kulo nyaka kukhona ukulindela kwamaholide okuqala, kulo lonke uchungechunge, ukusetshenziswa esikhathini esifushane akukho ndawo ekhanyayo evelele;ngaphezu kwalokho, izigayo zensimbi zama-oda kaJanuwari zisalindeleke ukuthi zibe mpofu, ingcindezi yesikhashana kusukela phansi phezulu, ama-oda kanye nezinkinga zokuxhumanisa zesikhathi eside kuseyizinkinga ezisobala kakhulu ezikhungethe ukuphela kwendawo, leso sidingo sisalindeleke ukuthi sinciphe.Ngokombono wezinsiza zemakethe, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngoba izigayo eziningi zensimbi zingaphansi kwengcindezi enkulu yokuthola ama-oda, ngoDisemba, ukuze kugcwaliswe ama-oda, izigayo zensimbi ezithola ama-oda zazinokuziphatha kokunciphisa amanani kanye nokuthunyelwa kwezingxoxo kuphela. ngaphansi kwentengo yemakethe yendawo, kunezindleko zensiza ezingaphansi kwamanani amanje emakethe.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ngokubuyiswa kokukhiqizwa kwensimbi, imakethe izokwandisa kancane kancane umthamo wezimpahla, ukucindezela kwemakethe kubonakala kancane kancane.Ngakho-ke, kukho konke, ingcindezi yokuhlinzeka kanye nesidingo kancane kancane ingaphansi kwengcindezi, ngesikhathi esifanayo ekufikeni kwevolumu eyengeziwe futhi abathengisi bafuna ukukhipha imali, futhi ngoDisemba ezinye izinsiza zentengo ephansi zigeleza emakethe, indawo eshisayo nebanda. amanani kulindeleke ukuthi aqhubeke nokusebenza okubuthakathaka.
(4) insimbi engagqwali
Njengamanje, isidingo sensimbi engagqwali sesisonke asibonisi zimpawu zokuthuthuka, i-inventory iyonke isezingeni eliphezulu, isimo semakethe sisabuswa ukungabi nathemba, kodwa imakethe ingase igqugquzelwe yizindaba zokwehliswa kokukhiqizwa kwensimbi. , ikakhulukazi ekhathazekile ngokushintsha kwezimo zokuhweba, amanani entengo angama-304 kulindeleke ukuthi aguquke kuleli sonto.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-14-2021